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ECB Policy Direction

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NZIER Shadow Board Backs RBNZ's Rate Hold Amid Future Hike Predictions

May 254:53 AMby Vadim Skritskii
Pulse Strength+0.00Neutral
Attention Pulse+2.67Subdued
Tier 1-38%Quiet · Long tail

The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) shadow board has expressed support for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to maintain its official cash rate at 2.25% during this week's monetary policy meeting. However, the board's members foresee potential rate increases in the future, highlighting a divergence in opinions regarding the timing of these hikes. This sentiment comes as the current economic indicators reflect a rate of change in economic activity of -0.38, suggesting a slowing momentum in growth. Investor sentiment remains robust, with an adjusted sentiment score of 86 indicating a prevailing atmosphere of extreme greed among market participants, despite a neutral coverage score of 54, which reflects a balanced media focus on monetary policy developments. As the RBNZ navigates these complex dynamics, the discussion on the precise timing of future rate adjustments remains a pivotal topic for market watchers.

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