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Survey-Based Expectations

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Central Bank Projects Inflation Surge to 27% by End of 2026 Amid Tax Reforms

May 231:45 PMby Vadim Skritskii
Pulse Strength+0.13Neutral
Attention Pulse+1.14Subdued
Tier 1+32%Quiet · Long tail

The Central Bank has forecasted that inflation will escalate to 27% in the final quarter of 2026, driven primarily by anticipated tax reforms that are expected to exert upward pressure on prices at the start of the year. However, the Bank expects these inflationary effects to moderate as the year progresses, suggesting a potential absorption of price increases by year-end. This outlook comes amid a broader economic climate where sentiment remains cautious, reflected in a score_adj of 29, indicating a heightened level of concern among investors. The topic coverage, currently at 39, highlights a neutral stance in market discussions, despite the underlying fear associated with inflationary pressures. The recent rate of change in sentiment, noted at 0.315, underscores a slight upward momentum, suggesting that while fears persist, there may be emerging optimism about the economy's ability to stabilize post-reform.

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