Ukraine A-95 gasoline averages 87.25 hryvnias
A-95 gasoline in Ukraine is trading at an average 87.25 hryvnias a liter, with analysts saying prices could rise toward 93-94 hryvnias but are unlikely to hit 100 hryvnias in the near term.
The latest increase underscores how imported fuel costs, currency swings and global oil prices are still feeding through to retail pumps even as the market appears to have stabilized after earlier spikes. For households and transport companies, every hryvnia added to gasoline prices raises logistics costs and squeezes disposable income in an economy already under wartime pressure.
Premium A-95 now averages 91.16 hryvnias a liter nationwide, while diesel stands at 97.92 hryvnias and autogas at 43.91 hryvnias, according to A-95 Consulting Group data cited by local outlet 24 Kanal. Regional pricing remains uneven, with A-95 at 86.12 hryvnias in Kharkiv, 86.84 hryvnias in Kyiv region, 87.58 hryvnias in Lviv and 87.62 hryvnias in Odesa.
Fuel-market expert Serhii Kuyun said prices are “stabilized” and that the domestic market does not currently point to a 100-hryvnia benchmark. His comments suggest retailers still have room to reprice fuel higher if international costs or the hryvnia worsen, but not enough to justify panic buying.
The broader backdrop remains uncomfortable for consumers and policymakers. Ukraine’s antimonopoly authority is still looking into the market, but its chairman has said there is no evidence yet of collusion, calling the price increases a reaction to the Middle East crisis. The government has also pushed Ukrnafta to sell fuel with minimal margins and has worked with international partners to expand imports, while a fuel cashback program has already ended.
For investors and businesses, the key issue is whether Ukraine’s pump prices remain capped near current levels or move closer to the 93-94 hryvnia range. The next catalyst is likely to be global crude moves and the hryvnia exchange rate, both of which will determine whether the latest jump at gas stations becomes another round of inflation pressure.
| Entity | Gains | Losses |
|---|---|---|
| Fuel retailers | ▲Higher pump margins | ▼Consumer backlash |
| Ukrainian drivers | ▲Limited price stability | ▼More expensive travel |
| Transport firms | ▲Predictable pricing near current levels | ▼Higher logistics costs |
| Government | ▲Less risk of 100-hryvnia panic | ▼More inflation pressure |