Poland and Bulgaria weigh more MiG-29 transfers to Ukraine

Poland says it could still transfer more MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine, while Bulgaria is weighing its own interest in the aircraft, keeping alive a supply line that would bolster Kyiv’s air defenses without forcing Western allies to hand over newer frontline jets.
The remarks matter because Ukraine’s air force remains under pressure from Russian strikes, and any additional Soviet-era fighters would be faster to deploy than Western aircraft that require deeper training, maintenance and integration. The political value is also important: MiG transfers let NATO members support Ukraine while limiting the risk of direct escalation with Moscow.

The issue is especially sensitive as Russia continues heavy strikes across Ukraine and Kyiv seeks more air-defense support after President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the United States, where he said former President Donald Trump had agreed to license Patriot missile systems. That underscores the broader pattern in the war: Ukraine is trying to patch immediate gaps in its air shield with whatever can be delivered quickly, while its partners weigh what they can spare.
For investors, the story reinforces sustained demand for air-defense systems, missiles and replacement aircraft, benefiting suppliers such as Lockheed Martin, RTX and Boeing’s defense business over time. It also keeps geopolitical risk elevated for European assets, with proprietary Adalytica trade signals showing stronger activity in the euro and Polish zloty but extreme fear in the dollar, a mix that often accompanies shifting war and policy expectations.
Any concrete decision on more MiG transfers, or on Bulgaria’s participation, would be watched for its military impact and for whether it nudges allies closer to a longer-term rearmament cycle in Eastern Europe.
| Entity | Gains | Losses |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | ▲More fighter capacity | ▼Warplane shortage |
| Poland/Bulgaria | ▲Alliance leverage | ▼Inventory pressure |
| NATO defense contractors | ▲Missile and air-defense demand | ▼None material |
| Russia | ▲None material | ▼Greater air-threat pressure |