AI-driven fear and greed index for Bitcoin - capturing retail speculation cycles, institutional adoption narratives, halving momentum, and macro correlation in BTC market commentary.

Crypto sentiment is highly reflexive — narrative can drive price, which reinforces narrative. Extreme Fear readings (0–20) have historically marked cyclical bottoms within weeks; Extreme Greed readings (80–100) have preceded corrections within days to weeks. The Awareness score is especially sensitive to on-chain activity spikes, exchange listings, and regulatory headlines.

Key Drivers

• On-chain transaction volume and active addresses
• Exchange inflow / outflow trends
• Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions
• Bitcoin dominance shifts
• Macro risk-on / risk-off sentiment

Reading the Sentiment Scale

• 0–20Extreme Fear. Coverage dominated by risk-aversion signals; narrative heavily skewed toward fear conditions.
• 21–40Fear. Below-neutral conditions with cautious market positioning; optimism subdued relative to the 30-day baseline.
• 41–60Neutral. Balanced coverage with no clear directional bias. Market is in a wait-and-see posture, awaiting a catalyst.
• 61–80Greed. Positive momentum building in the narrative; coverage tilting toward greed catalysts and upside scenarios.
• 81–100Extreme Greed. Elevated risk of mean-reversion. Watch for sentiment exhaustion signals and divergence from the Awareness score.

How to Use This Index

• Use the Sentiment score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for Bitcoin at a glance.
• The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage — early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
• Extreme readings (0–20 or 80–100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
• Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
• Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.

This index is frequently referenced alongside bitcoin sentiment, ai crypto sentiment, internet bitcoin narratives, btc outlook, alternative data crypto, bitcoin price sentiment analysis — helping traders and analysts track Bitcoin sentiment shifts in real time.