CPI Sentiment
Overview · Outlook index · updated daily
About the CPI Sentiment
AI-driven analysis of Consumer Price Index sentiment and inflation expectations - capturing core vs. headline CPI narrative dynamics, shelter cost commentary, and market reactions to monthly price data.
Macro sentiment indicators capture the aggregate narrative bias across economic data releases, not just individual prints. A rising Awareness score alongside deteriorating Sentiment is a classic recession-fear signal. These indicators are best used to track how quickly markets are repricing macro risk, rather than to predict the data itself.
Key drivers
- PMI composite readings (manufacturing + services)
- Consumer confidence surveys (Conference Board, UoM)
- Retail sales and personal spending data
- Leading economic indicators (LEI)
- Labor market health (jobless claims, JOLTS)
Reading the Outlook scale
- 0-20Deeply PessimisticCoverage points to contraction or recession.
- 21-40PessimisticOutlook weakening; downside risks lead.
- 41-60Now · 57NeutralMixed outlook; no clear trend.
- 61-80OptimisticOutlook improving; growth signals lead.
- 81-100Highly OptimisticStrong growth narrative; watch for overheating.
How to use this index
- Use the Outlook score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for CPI at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside cpi sentiment, inflation outlook, consumer price index analysis, ai macro sentiment, alternative data macro - helping traders and analysts track CPI outlook shifts in real time.
Latest news
CPI in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
Honduras IMF deal could unlock $120 million
Honduras has reached a technical agreement with the International Monetary Fund that could unlock about $120 million, giving the government fresh external financing at a time of elevated regional and fiscal strain.
Read moreIndia festive spending stays strong in staples
India’s festive shopping season is proving resilient in staples and premium essentials, but the broader consumer recovery remains patchy as inflation, higher borrowing costs and delayed festival timing curb spending on discretionary goods.
Read moreRussia pension advice shifts to purchasing power
Inflation is reshaping what Russians should consider a “decent” pension, with the country’s public financial-planning advice now explicitly warning that retirement income has to be judged by purchasing power rather than the nominal ruble amount.
Read moreArgentina inflation falls as growth slows
Argentina’s President Javier Milei is trying to turn a painful economic slowdown into a political asset, arguing that his austerity drive has brought inflation down even as growth loses momentum and the recovery remains fragile.
Read moreFrance deploys 70,000 police as protests spread
France is deploying about 70,000 police and gendarmes nationwide as anger over inflation and the cost of living threatens to turn another weekend of protests into a broader test of President Emmanuel Macron’s authority.
Read moreBrazil cost-of-living fight targets Lula taxes
Flávio Bolsonaro sharpened his criticism of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by arguing that rising taxes and inflation are leaving Brazilian consumers worse off, turning the debate over the cost of living into a core political fight with market implications.
Read moreKazakhstan Central Bank Flags Inflation From Bigger 2027 Budget
Kazakhstan’s central bank says the government’s bigger 2027 budget will add to inflation pressure, but not enough to change the broader case for spending that supports the economy’s long-term capacity.
Read moreDominican Republic Growth Holds as Inflation Stays High
The Dominican economy expanded 4.6% in the first nine months of 2026, but inflation above the central bank’s target is forcing policymakers to keep rates restrictive even as growth broadens across construction, tourism and financial services.
Read moreIndonesia eastern logistics plan targets food inflation
Indonesia is moving to shore up its eastern logistics network as officials warn that broken ports, damaged ships and weak cold-chain storage could quickly turn supply bottlenecks into higher food prices across Sulawesi, Maluku and Papua.
Read moreMontenegro inflation tied to imported goods
Montenegro’s inflation problem is being driven less by domestic demand and more by the country’s dependence on imported goods, according to Muleskovic, underscoring how a small, open economy remains vulnerable to external price shocks even as global inflation shows signs of easing.
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Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the CPI index?
AI-driven analysis of Consumer Price Index sentiment and inflation expectations - capturing core vs. headline CPI narrative dynamics, shelter cost commentary, and market reactions to monthly price data.
How is the CPI index calculated?
The CPI index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Deeply Pessimistic) to 100 (Highly Optimistic), where 50 represents neutral conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the CPI index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs once per day. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.