Trump Sentiment Index
Overview · Sentiment index · updated every 3 hours
About the Trump Sentiment Index
AI-driven analysis of Donald Trump political and market impact sentiment - tracking policy commentary, electoral dynamics, and the market implications of Trump-related news across financial media.
Thematic and political sentiment indicators capture the market's interpretation of policy and narrative shifts rather than economic data. These indicators are particularly useful during election cycles, policy pivots, or sustained regulatory change. High Awareness with neutral Sentiment is a common pattern during ongoing policy debates where the directional outcome remains contested.
Key drivers
- Legislative and executive policy announcements
- Polling and approval rating trends
- Regulatory agency activity and enforcement signals
- Market pricing of policy risk (VIX, rates, sector rotation)
- Media narrative clustering around specific policy themes
Reading the Sentiment scale
- 0-20Now · 14Deeply NegativeOverwhelmingly critical coverage; high policy risk.
- 21-40NegativeCoverage leans critical.
- 41-60NeutralMixed coverage; no clear lean.
- 61-80PositiveCoverage leans favorable.
- 81-100Strongly PositiveBroadly favorable coverage; low perceived policy risk.
How to use this index
- Use the Sentiment score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for Trump at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside trump sentiment, political news outlook, ai political sentiment, internet news analysis, alternative data politics - helping traders and analysts track Trump sentiment shifts in real time.
Latest news
Trump in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
Trump Russia Policy, Midterms, and Market Risks
Donald Trump’s accommodation of Vladimir Putin is colliding with a weakening domestic mandate and a midterm election that could strip him of congressional control.
Read moreTrump gains rural voter support in Echelon poll
Trump has regained a narrow advantage among rural voters, giving Republicans a modest but potentially important boost as they try to lock in turnout ahead of the election.
Read moreTrump Media Stock Falls as Political Scrutiny Grows
Trump Media & Technology Group’s stock is under pressure as the broader Trump political brand faces fresh scrutiny, with British newspapers The Telegraph and The Guardian attacking President Donald Trump and the Republican figures who have stood beside him.
Read moreTrump Iran Talks Ease Immediate Oil Shock Risk
Trump’s declaration that U.S.-Iran talks are “constructive” and that Washington will not attack Tehran before the elections is the biggest near-term market signal out of the Middle East because it lowers the odds of an immediate supply shock in crude while preserving the broader geopolitical risk premium.
Read moreTrump Media Faces Oversight Risk on Democratic Control
Michigan Sen. Elissa Slotkin’s call for a hard-edged Democratic crackdown on Trump-era corruption is emerging as a potential day-one priority for a party that could soon regain at least part of Congress, a prospect that has clearly rattled Donald Trump and keeps investors focused on the policy risk hanging over his orbit.
Read moreWhite House gives Politico 48 hours to retract reports
The White House has given Politico 48 hours to retract or correct a series of reports on internal Trump administration feuding, escalating a clash that matters less for one media outlet than for the broader balance of power between the presidency and the press.
Read moreTrump $5,000 cash pledge puts DJT in focus
Donald Trump is facing fresh criticism after telling supporters he would hand every adult American $5,000 only if Republicans win the midterms, a pledge that underscores how aggressively he is tying policy and money to election outcomes.
Read moreIran conflict risk after the midterm elections
The biggest market risk from the U.S. midterm elections is not who wins Congress, but who keeps control of the war in Iran: the president. For investors, that matters because a more hostile Congress can investigate, criticize and try to constrain military action, but it is unlikely to stop a determined commander in chief from escalating, de-escalating or striking back — and that makes oil, defense and the broader risk mood vulnerable to decisions that will still be made in the White House.
Read moreTrump Media Near 52-Week Lows After Fauci Remarks
Donald Trump’s latest broadside against Anthony Fauci came as shares of Trump Media & Technology Group, the parent of Truth Social, languished near their 52-week lows, underscoring how closely the stock trades with the former president’s political fortunes and the intensity of the campaign season.
Read moreTrump Iran Policy Raises Oil and Market Risk
Donald Trump’s push to manage a war in the Middle East while fighting for political survival at home is creating a rare double risk for investors: policy instability and election uncertainty.
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Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the Trump index?
The Trump Sentiment Index is a political sentiment tool that measures public opinion and emotional sentiment surrounding Donald Trump, his policies, and his influence on the political landscape. This index uses advanced AI-driven sentiment analysis to track news articles, social media posts, speeches, and other public content to gauge whether the sentiment is predominantly positive, negative, or neutral towards the former U.S. president.
Every day, the index processes millions of data points from a wide range of sources, including news outlets, political commentary, social media platforms, and public reactions. The AI analyzes the tone, frequency, and context of mentions of Trump, helping to track the shifts in public sentiment - whether reflecting support for his actions, criticism of his policies, or reactions to his involvement in ongoing political events.
The Trump Sentiment Index provides real-time insights into the political climate, helping investors, political analysts, and media professionals understand the potential impact of Trump's influence on the market, public opinion, and even future political campaigns. By monitoring the emotional tone around Trump, it can assist in predicting market reactions, especially in the context of elections, political events, and economic policies linked to his legacy.
How is the Trump index calculated?
The Trump index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Deeply Negative) to 100 (Strongly Positive), where 50 represents neutral conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the Trump index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs daily. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.