Trump Sentiment Index
Overview · Sentiment index · updated every 3 hours
About the Trump Sentiment Index
AI-driven analysis of Donald Trump political and market impact sentiment - tracking policy commentary, electoral dynamics, and the market implications of Trump-related news across financial media.
Thematic and political sentiment indicators capture the market's interpretation of policy and narrative shifts rather than economic data. These indicators are particularly useful during election cycles, policy pivots, or sustained regulatory change. High Awareness with neutral Sentiment is a common pattern during ongoing policy debates where the directional outcome remains contested.
Key drivers
- Legislative and executive policy announcements
- Polling and approval rating trends
- Regulatory agency activity and enforcement signals
- Market pricing of policy risk (VIX, rates, sector rotation)
- Media narrative clustering around specific policy themes
Reading the Sentiment scale
- 0-20Now · 11Deeply NegativeOverwhelmingly critical coverage; high policy risk.
- 21-40NegativeCoverage leans critical.
- 41-60NeutralMixed coverage; no clear lean.
- 61-80PositiveCoverage leans favorable.
- 81-100Strongly PositiveBroadly favorable coverage; low perceived policy risk.
How to use this index
- Use the Sentiment score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for Trump at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside trump sentiment, political news outlook, ai political sentiment, internet news analysis, alternative data politics - helping traders and analysts track Trump sentiment shifts in real time.
Latest news
Trump in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
Trump Media Falls as Democrats Gain Congress
Democrats’ takeover of both chambers of Congress has set up a rapid escalation in investigations into Donald Trump and his associates, a political shift that matters because it raises the odds of subpoenas, hearings and legal fights just as investors are already marking down Trump-linked assets.
Read moreTrump Reacts to Democratic Congress Win
President Donald Trump’s public congratulation of Democrats after they won control of both chambers of Congress marks the most important immediate shift in Washington: a divided government that could narrow the policy agenda but also force compromise on immigration and other must-pass issues.
Read moreTrump Media (DJT) falls below key moving averages
Donald Trump’s political setback in the U.S. midterms is colliding with a brutal market verdict on Trump Media, where shares have plunged to $3.97 and now sit more than 60% below the year’s earlier levels, underscoring how quickly the trade on Trump’s political brand can unwind when momentum breaks.
Read moreDemocrats Likely to Control Congress After Vote
Donald Trump’s reaction to the emerging election results underscores the real market-moving development: Democrats are on course to control both chambers of Congress, setting up a sharper check on the president’s agenda and a wave of oversight that could reshape policy expectations in Washington.
Read moreTrump impeachment debate and market implications
Donald Trump’s return to the impeachment debate is getting more attention than the math behind it deserves, and that math still says removing a sitting president is extraordinarily hard even if Democrats do gain ground in Congress.
Read moreOil and defense trade on Iran war risk
The US midterm elections may not decide how Donald Trump prosecutes the war with Iran, but they could determine how far he is willing to go, and investors are already pricing that risk into energy and defense markets.
Read moreMexico assets face U.S. pressure after Trump setback
Trump’s midterm defeat matters because it weakens his political leverage, but not enough to stop the policy pressure on Mexico, trade and border security that markets care about most.
Read moreIran war, gas prices, and U.S. midterm politics
Iran’s war is starting to look less like a distant foreign-policy test and more like a pocketbook issue that could shape the U.S. midterms, with gasoline prices and inflation fears feeding directly into voter frustration with Donald Trump’s handling of the crisis.
Read moreU.S. Midterms and Market Risks Under Trump
The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are shaping up as the first nationwide verdict on Donald Trump’s second term, with control of Congress likely to determine whether his agenda on taxes, immigration, spending and war can move ahead unimpeded or face an institutional brake.
Read moreTrump approval falls to 32% before midterms
Trump’s approval rating has slipped to 32%, near a record low, as Democrats enter the US midterm election with an eight-point lead over Republicans, a political shift that could reshape fiscal, regulatory and trade policy if it translates into control of Congress.
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Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the Trump index?
The Trump Sentiment Index is a political sentiment tool that measures public opinion and emotional sentiment surrounding Donald Trump, his policies, and his influence on the political landscape. This index uses advanced AI-driven sentiment analysis to track news articles, social media posts, speeches, and other public content to gauge whether the sentiment is predominantly positive, negative, or neutral towards the former U.S. president.
Every day, the index processes millions of data points from a wide range of sources, including news outlets, political commentary, social media platforms, and public reactions. The AI analyzes the tone, frequency, and context of mentions of Trump, helping to track the shifts in public sentiment - whether reflecting support for his actions, criticism of his policies, or reactions to his involvement in ongoing political events.
The Trump Sentiment Index provides real-time insights into the political climate, helping investors, political analysts, and media professionals understand the potential impact of Trump's influence on the market, public opinion, and even future political campaigns. By monitoring the emotional tone around Trump, it can assist in predicting market reactions, especially in the context of elections, political events, and economic policies linked to his legacy.
How is the Trump index calculated?
The Trump index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Deeply Negative) to 100 (Strongly Positive), where 50 represents neutral conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the Trump index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs daily. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.